Evaluating Forecast Accuracy 

Every forecast should provide a basis for a decision in some form. So that changes in a time series pattern can be recognized early, the following parameters are calculated in the R/3 System:

  • Error total
  • Mean absolute deviation (MAD)
  • Tracking signal
  • Theil coefficient

Error Total

Mean Absolute Deviation for Initialization

Mean Absolute Deviation for the Ex-Post Forecast

Tracking Signal

Theil coefficient for the Ex-Post Forecast

Key